Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Corbett favored in Pennsylvania

While Democratic prospects in the Pennsylvania Senate race are now looking a lot brighter than they were three months ago, the contest for Governor continues to look like an uphill battle. Tom Corbett leads Dan Onorato 45-35, indicating Onorato has only picked up a little bit of support after trailing 45-32 on PPP's previous poll of the race in early April.

Corbett has two big things going for him: a 44-20 advantage with independents and the fact that he's winning 74% of the Republican vote while Onorato has just 57% of his party's voters lined up behind him.

Both of the candidates are still relatively unknown at this point. 50% of voters have no opinion about Corbett one way or the other. He has good numbers among those who do with 31% seeing him favorably to 19% with a negative opinion. 53% have no opinion about Onoraro and the reviews he gets are somewhat less positive- 22% have a favorable view of him while 25% rate him unfavorably.

One thing that can't be doing Onorato's prospects any favors is the high level of unpopularity of outgoing Governor Ed Rendell. He has just a 35% approval rating with 53% of voters disapproving of him. It's no surprise that voters are reluctant to elect another Democratic Governor when they feel so negatively toward the one already in office.

There's a lot of room for the race to shift with the candidates so little known, but for now it looks like the GOP is strongly favored to take back this office.

Full results here

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