Tuesday, November 2, 2010

Senate Candidate Favorabilities

Below is a chart looking at the favorabilities (Or approvals for current office holders) of the 32 Senate candidates included on our final 18 polls. Some observations:

-The most popular candidates are Joe Manchin, Rob Portman, Kelly Ayotte, Scott McAdams, and Ron Johnson.

-The least popular candidates are Joe Miller, Jack Conway, Paul Hodes, Lee Fisher, and Lisa Murkowski.

-The most popular candidates who are probably going to lose anyway are McAdams, Kendrick Meek, and Elaine Marshall.

-The least popular candidates who are probably going to win anyway are Miller, Barbara Boxer, and whoever emerges as the winner between Harry Reid and Sharron Angle.

-When you see Portman, Ayotte, and Johnson at the top of this list while simultaneously seeing Joe Miller at the bottom and Sharron Angle and Ken Buck pretty far down as well it's a reminder that Republicans are still a lot better off with mainstream candidates than Tea Party ones, even if many of those Tea Party Republicans are still going to pull it off this year because the political climate is so bad for Democrats.

What else do you take away from these?

Candidate

Favorability/Approval

Spread

Joe Manchin

70/22

+48

Rob Portman

50/25

+25

Kelly Ayotte

57/34

+23

Scott McAdams

50/30

+20

Ron Johnson

51/35

+16

Kendrick Meek

42/32

+10

Marco Rubio

51/41

+10

Richard Blumenthal

50/40

+10

Richard Burr

45/39

+6

Elaine Marshall

40/35

+5

Pat Toomey

45/40

+5

Rand Paul

48/43

+5

Dino Rossi

45/46

-1

Charlie Crist

41/43

-2

Carly Fiorina

42/44

-2

Ken Buck

44/48

-4

Joe Sestak

39/43

-4

Russ Feingold

44/48

-4

Mark Kirk

39/45

-6

John Raese

41/47

-6

Patty Murray

44/51

-7

Michael Bennet

39/47

-8

Sharron Angle

44/53

-9

Barbara Boxer

40/50

-10

Harry Reid

39/51

-12

Alexi Giannoulias

42/55

-12

Linda McMahon

35/49

-13

Lisa Murkowski

37/52

-15

Lee Fisher

37/53

-16

Paul Hodes

34/50

-16

Jack Conway

34/52

-18

Joe Miller

36/59

-23

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