Wednesday, December 29, 2010

Year End Governor Approval Ratings

Yesterday we took a look at the approval numbers for all 59 Senators we'd polled on in the final half of the year and today we take on the 30 Governors. Here are some of the findings:



-As much noise as was made about voters being mad at Washington this year, they actually react more favorably to their Senators than they do their Governors. The average Gubernatorial approval rating is 42% with 45% of voters disapproving. The average Senator was actually in net positive territory at 43% approving and 40% disapproving. 12 Governors have positive approval numbers, 16 have negative ones, and 2 split right down the middle.



-It's good to be from a small state. The six most popular Governors we polled on this year all came from places with seven electoral votes or less. The most popular by a wide margin, although he isn't a Governor anymore, was Joe Manchin at a +48 approval spread (70/22). The others near the top of the list are Bobby Jindal (+24), Jodi Rell (+24), Brian Schweitzer (+22), Jack Markell (+18), and Sean Parnell (+16).



-Four Governors ended the year (and their terms) in the under 30% approval club. The least popular in the country at least in our polling is Arnold Schwarzenegger at a -38 spread (25/63). The other folks reaching this unwelcome unpopularity level are Bill Richardson at a -37 spread, Jim Gibbons at a -36, and John Baldacci at -29. It's not a coincidence that 3 out of 4 of these guys saw the Governor's office in their state flip to the other party last month.



-Here are numbers on some folks who will or might be on the ballot during the 2012 cycle: Kentucky Democrat Steve Beshear who's up next year is unusually popular at a 48/34 spread. So is Missouri Democrat Jay Nixon, up in 2012, at 44/30. North Carolina Democrat Bev Perdue, also up in 2012, falls on the wrong side of the approval averages at 35/44. Linda Lingle of Hawaii, who Republicans are hyper about as a potential 2012 Senate candidate, is not nearly as popular as she may have once been with voters only narrowly rating her favorably at 46/45.



-As was the case with the Senators there's not a huge difference in the popularity of the Democratic Governors vs. the Republican ones. The average Democratic Governor approval spread is 41/46. For the Republicans it's just slightly better at 44/45.



Here are the full numbers:



Governor

Approval

Spread

Joe Manchin (D-WV)

70/22

+48

Bobby Jindal (R-LA)

58/34

+24

Jodi Rell (R-CT)

55/31

+24

Brian Schweitzer (D-MT)

55/33

+22

Jack Markell (D-DE)

50/32

+18

Sean Parnell (R-AK)

51/35

+16

Steve Beshear (D-KY)

48/34

+14

Jay Nixon (D-MO)

44/30

+14

John Lynch (D-NH)

51/39

+12

Charlie Crist (I-FL)

50/39

+11

Bob McDonnell (R-VA)

44/36

+8

Linda Lingle (R-HI)

46/45

+1

Rick Perry (R-TX)

45/45

Even

Deval Patrick (D-MA)

45/45

Even

Martin O’Malley (D-MD)

42/43

-1

Ted Strickland (D-OH)

39/44

-5

Bev Perdue (D-NC)

35/44

-9

Tim Pawlenty (R-MN)

43/53

-10

Christine Gregoire (D-WA)

40/53

-13

Bill Ritter (D-CO)

35/50

-15

Ted Kulongoski (D-OR)

34/52

-18

Ed Rendell (D-PA)

34/53

-19

Jim Doyle (D-WI)

36/56

-20

Pat Quinn (D-IL)

32/54

-22

Jennifer Granholm (D-MI)

34/57

-23

David Paterson (D-NY)

30/55

-25

John Baldacci (D-ME)

29/58

-29

Jim Gibbons (R-NV)

25/61

-36

Bill Richardson (D-NM)

27/64

-37

Arnold Schwarzenegger (R-CA)

25/63

-38



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